Via Technology Review: most experts say AI isn’t as much of a threat as you might think – what do you think? – Technology vs Humanity: the coming clash of man and machine

Bostrom aggregates the results of four different surveys of groups such as participants in a conference called “Philosophy and Theory of AI,” held in 2011 in Thessaloniki, Greece, and members of the Greek Association for Artificial Intelligence (he does not provide response rates or the phrasing of questions, and he does not account for the reliance on data collected in Greece). His findings are presented as probabilities that human-level AI will be attained by a certain time:By 2022: 10 percent.By 2040: 50 percent.By 2075: 90 percent.”Most experts say AI isn’t as much of a threat as you might think

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Author: Gerd Leonhard

In the words of American poet John Berryman, “the possibility that has been overlooked is the future”. Most of us are far too busy coping with present challenges to explore the future in any depth – and when we do our own cravings and fears often run away with us, resulting in utopias or dystopias that are not very helpful in terms of planning and decisions. Today’s professionals, leaders and their organisations need a dedicated, passionate long-term understanding of the future if they are to successfully navigate the exponential waves of change. For countless individuals and organizations that intelligence is called Gerd Leonhard. View all posts by Gerd Leonhard